Ships vs. Scans vs. Revenue

January 21, 2009 at 2:59 am | In ...And I Quote, Music Business | Leave a Comment
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Ships vs. Scans vs. Revenue.  Only 1 of these is valid in today’s market, but there is a strong resistance against realizing this fact.

Ship numbers give us hope.  Hope that if we put enough product out there, if we just badger enough people, if we just show up for the party…we will have a chance to win.  This is irrelevant and a false sense of security.  Demand moves product, not availability.

Scans give us a false sense of success or even failure at times.  A scan is a unit, but the unit price is variable.  If you scan a 100K units but it’s because your sales team was selling the product in at a greatly reduced rate, success is just a ruse.  On the flip side, if you scan 100K units when you meant to scan 150K, but your tracks sales, which don’t count towards scans (see TEA) tally 500K because you had a hit single at radio, what have you lost?  You may need to readjust your strategy for greater success in the future, but the bottom line is still, at present, sitting pretty safe.

Revenue is the only gauge for success anymore.  The number of revenue streams and channels available for monitizing changes the game entirely.  It’s not about a format.  it’s not about a silicon disc.  It’s about supply and demand.  It’s back to the basics of business.  At the end of the day who cares if your artists sold 50 times more tracks than albums and 100K ringtones instead of cummulative track downloads.  The beauty is that consumers are transacting and every time they do, they communicate who they are, where they are, and what they want.  It’s our job to adjust and maximize the potential in every corner of that market.

I leave you with a quote from Rio Caraeff, EVP of UMG’s Digital Division.

“We don’t focus anymore on total album sales or the sale of any one particular product as the metric of revenue or success.  We look at the total consolidated revenue from dozens of revenue lines behind a given artist or project, which include digital sales, the physical business, mobile sales and licensing income.”

Ken Barnes – USA Today

January 16, 2009 at 4:48 am | In ...And I Quote, Music Business | Leave a Comment
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“Americans bought more music in 2008 than ever before, but album sales — the music industry’s main source of revenue — dropped for a fourth year”  – Ken Barnes – USA Today

For starters…this quote doesn’t make any sense (It’s okay…read it again if you didn’t catch it).  I’m not sure Ken even read his own article because his numbers don’t add up. Yes.  Ken Barnes reports in his recent article on the Music Industry, Music Sales Boom, but Albums Fizzle for ‘08, that $535.4 million is actually greater than approximately $585 million.

“Even combining album and track sales…, the 535.4 million total is still down 8.5% from 2007″

Perhaps it would be wise for USA Today to require an entry level math test in their job application process.

Math According to USA Today =            535 > 585

Math According to Everyone Else =       535 < 585

Okay.  So of course I’m being facetious and maybe a little to harsh on Ken.  We all know what he means, but this strikes a chord of frustration with me.  Americans aren’t buying more music if music revenue is down 8.5% because the price of music hasn’t dropped 8.5% in the last year, which means this is a volume issue.  There are reports about how people are consuming more music than ever before and I can legitimately buy into that reasoning, given the number of free music channels, but Americans did NOT “buy” more music in 2008.

They bought LESS.  Almost 8.5% LESS

As a matter of fact, according to Ken, 2008 revenue is “30% below” that of the year 2000 so Americans certainly didn’t buy more music “than ever before”.  A consumer may buy 5 songs from 5 different artists and therefore consume more types of music and perhaps even execute 5 entirely different monetary transactions, but only generate about half of the revenue that an album would generate in addition to only buying about half of the musical content found on one typical album (see TEA).

You all know this.  The reality isn’t shocking.  The numbers aren’t even shocking anymore (especially for those of us in the music industry).  It’s the spin that drives me crazy.  Let’s just be honest and admit that until we see a percentage increase in sales, American’s are not buying more music.

Bob Lefsetz

January 9, 2009 at 2:37 am | In ...And I Quote, Music Business | Leave a Comment
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“The institution has trumped the musicians”

From his recent blog “Timing“.   While I’d like to read more from Bob about what he thinks WILL work instead of what hasn’t, doesn’t, or won’t, I am grateful for the blunt reality that he brings to the table and his assessments are, for the most part, spot on.  For those of us working in the music industry, it’s difficult to deny that the artist isn’t the focus anymore.  Everyone is in survival mode from the Penthouse to the Mailroom.  Digital will never compensate for physical revenue losses and physical has chosen a slow and painful death, which means there’s still a long hard road ahead.  Headcounts will continue to be reduced and, unfortunately, the Institutions haven’t been starved enough to spawn effective ways to be a successful record label of the future and until then, the musicians will suffer.

Time Management = Distraction Management

November 26, 2008 at 4:17 am | In ...And I Quote, Marketing, Music Business | Leave a Comment
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Managing your distractions is the first step in managing your time, because is makes every second that you do have more valuable.

Quote – Digital Media Digest

September 28, 2008 at 6:56 pm | In ...And I Quote | Leave a Comment
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“Just surviving the storm isn’t good enough.  We must build a better ship.”

Quote – Dennis Hopper

July 27, 2008 at 10:18 pm | In ...And I Quote | Leave a Comment
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“Just because it happened to you, doesn’t mean it’s interesting”

(also how I feel about most blogs)

Quote – Tom Silverman

July 27, 2008 at 10:15 pm | In ...And I Quote | Leave a Comment
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“Independent labels take nothing and make something out of it. Major labels buy that something, and try to make more out of it.”

- Tom Silverman, Tommy Boy Records CEO

Quote – Digital Media Digest

July 20, 2008 at 7:09 pm | In ...And I Quote | Leave a Comment
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“There will always be Freeloaders, but it is the labels’ prerogative and responsibility to get the music to the fans without encouraging any illegal activity.”

Quote – Hunter S. Thompson

July 20, 2008 at 6:08 pm | In ...And I Quote | Leave a Comment
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“The music business is a cruel and shallow money trench, a long plastic hallway where thieves and pimps run free, and good men die like dogs. There’s also a negative side.”

Quote – Joel Spolsky

July 14, 2008 at 8:49 pm | In ...And I Quote | Leave a Comment
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“An idea isn’t worth that much. It’s the execution of the idea that has value. If you can’t convince one other person that this is something to devote your life to, then it’s not worth it.”

- Joel Spolsky, Sink or Swim, SXSW 2006

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