Music Business – Hindsight 20/20
July 18, 2009 at 7:23 am | In Marketing, Media Business, Music Business | 1 CommentTags: 8-track, albums, Amazon, Cassette, CDs, Chris Anderson, Clore Chronicles, consumers, cross-marketing, digital, Direct to Consumer, distribution, download, Elio Leoni-Sceti, Email Marketing, EMI, facebook, fair use, Future, History, iTunes, labels, Marketing, Merch Intellectual Property, Music, Music Business, myspace, p2p, Pricing, Promotion, Relational Marketing, Seth Godin, Tracks, twitter, Vinyl
EMI Music CEO Elio Leoni-Sceti has been recently quoted saying:
Looking at the music industry, which has become something of a bellwether for other media businesses, we have a situation where seventy percent of music consumption is digital and yet only about twenty percent of music company revenues are derived from digital. Music is in demand and the demand is growing all the time, but we’ve clearly lost touch with our consumers.
Not to ‘Monday Morning Quarterback’ too much, but I would argue that in order to lose touch with your consumers, you actually have to be in touch to begin with and that has never been the case. Consumers are ’song’ driven and have been since the beginning of radio, but it was always the format that restricted consumption. From vinyl, to 8-track, to cassette, to CD there were always natural barriers in place to restrict unauthorized distribution. While those restrictions were in place, artists were bloating their records with filler and labels were increasing their profits, compounding consumer frustration. The Music Industry can claim ‘bellwether’ status all they want, but to miss the potential of the Internet was just ignorant, filing copyright infringement suits against your consumers was, and is, counterproductive, developing DRM technology was wasteful and futile, and to think consumers wouldn’t gravitate back to single consumption if given the opportunity is just evidence that a few key people had their head stuck in the sand. It was a nice effort, but it was all ‘reactive’. Nothing was proactive. Nobody thought to look ahead. Nobody thought to plan ahead, and for that, let’s take a moment and pause for the 7 Ps:
Prior Proper Planning Prevents Piss Poor Performance
So…In order to leave you with something other than complaints about the obvious, here are a few things I’ve come up with that I would have done differently:
- Embrace and build P2P in an effort to monetize, cross-market, gather consumer data, and track consumer behavior
- Demand variable track pricing from day 1 in order to generate revenue with regard to demand
- Raise the ‘Standard’ track price
- Build Label-Owned and Label-Merchandised online music destination equipped to compete
- Empower a 3rd party vendor where competing labels have an equity stake
- Bring Booking, Publishing, and Management, Distribution, and Merch In-House where possible
- Develop a modular and streamlined way of delivering digital product
- Monetize every Artist website and begin a relationship with the consumer at a transactional level
- Abandon all DRM efforts
- Invest heavily in a more positive, artist-driven, public re-education campaign around Intellectual Property and Fair Use
- Aggressively restructure and reorganize
- Simplify physical product pricing, promotion, and distribution
You may agree or disagree with many of these, but I encourage you to leave your own ideas in the comments section, especially if you believe I’ve left a gaping hole somewhere. Not to necessarily ‘blamestorm’, but to better understand where we came from and what we have come through in order to better prepare ourselves for the future. Also, if you want to a consistently good read from a guy who really appreciates the history of the Music Business and music in general, subscribe to the Clore Chronicles.
Moving on though, I think the real challenge is where we go from here. Leoni-Sceti’s comments above regarding digital consumption versus revenue is a huge disconnect and a code that isn’t easily cracked. It makes it even more difficult to dig out given the macroeconomic constraints present in today’s US economy. From my perspective, I still don’t think we are proactive enough. I still don’t think we are aggressive enough. So many people are just clinging to their jobs and trying to manage their daily duties, previously handled by multiple people. I’m not sure who’s looking ahead anymore. Godin and Anderson are two of my favorite idea guys, but they aren’t the decision makers here. To make matters worse, I don’t think the future of the business is going to be as glaringly obvious as before. In the last year, we’ve watched Myspace rise and fall, Facebook gravitate towards women over 55, and Twitter rise to the top overnight in a manner that screams ‘fad’. We don’t have time for a slow build formula, technology, model, or destination, but that’s what instills trust, relationships, and ultimately transactions.
To sum it up:
The Music Industry can’t afford people spending time looking ahead, but then again…they can’t afford not too
Flash Intros?
July 17, 2009 at 2:28 am | In Media Business, Music Business | Leave a CommentTags: Flash, Flash Intro, Intro, tips
Felt it necessary to reblog this. You can find more color commentary here, but I believe the picture speaks for itself.
Music: Its Very Own Loss Leader
June 23, 2009 at 1:07 am | In Marketing, Music Business | Leave a CommentTags: Album, CD, deep discount, digital, EP, Free Download, Loss Leader, Media, merch, Music, p2p, tickets, Wal-mart
Consumers want songs. There are exceptions when it comes to artists like Pink Floyd, but the main reason that consumers bought albums for years is because they had to. It was the only way to get the song they wanted and there were no easy technological workarounds. The music industry is fooling itself if it thinks the consumer will ever go back to buying albums or that bundling records up as digital Album Only purchases will actually help.
Pandora’s box has been opened.
It was essentially a race to zero. The labels began streaming early on. They could get around publishing fees that way and still expose their artists. Then there was the “Free Download”, as if that was going to curb the appetite for P2P use. After the free download, it was the free EP because intuition, or insecurity rather, said that “One song just wasn’t enough,” and now we have successfully moved to giving away the full album. From Radiohead to Nine Inch Nails, to Coldplay, and beyond. These high profile stunts have trained consumers to expect free or at least deep discounted products and to bypass anything at full price. Each of these stunts were loss leaders for tickets, merch, or future premium products which directly benefited those artists. The problem is that most labels don’t benefit from tickets, merch, or in some cases premium products. They only own the content so treating it like a loss leader is counterproductive.
When you go to Wal-mart to grab a deep discounted CD (or loss leader), Wal-mart is banking on you buying a plunger and a toothbrush before you leave. When you buy an album at a deep discount, the label hopes that you will tell your friends so they go buy it, pack mom’s minivan with friends headed to the show where you all come home wearing the t-shirt.
The reality is that you won’t tell your friends, you’ll just burn them a copy, and the label won’t make a dime off of the ticket sales or merch. The reality is that you can’t be your own loss leader. It’s either time for the labels to successfully invest in plungers and toothbrushes (figuratively speaking), or time for management and booking agencies to begin participating in recording costs. In the meantime, the labels need to be doing everything they can to stop devaluing their lifeline – recorded music.
Redbox Addiction
May 27, 2009 at 3:22 am | In Media Business, Video | Leave a CommentTags: Box, Circle K, DVD, Film, McDonalds, Movie, Red, Redbox, Rental
I’ve recently become facinated with and addicted to Redbox. I know I am late to the game, but I just felt it necessary to express how ingenious this idea is. If you haven’t tried it, you’re missing out. I’ve seen twice as many movies for half the price over the past few months and for the most part the customer experience has been as good as can be expected from any automatic vending service. You come across the occasional “out of stock” selection and you have to hang out in the McDonald’s parking lot (Circle K coming soon), but you can’t beat $1 a night. You also may run into the occassional “out of order” machine. I traveled to 2 Redbox locations tonight because the first one was down. I ended up returning the DVDs a little late at another location so I’m curious to see if there is any grace with the 9PM DVD return policy. They would have been on time had the 2 ladies in front of me understood how to insert their DVD correctly. I can see how the nontraditional barcode might throw people, but I commend Redbox on printing the return instructions very plainly on the casing.
I’ve heard Redbox might be moving into other merchandise. I even read somewhere that jewelry might be involved, but I can’t find that information now. If anyone has any insight on how this company is profitable, how their business works, and what is in store for the future of Redbox, I’d love to hear it.
The Long Tail in Question
May 25, 2009 at 5:00 am | In Marketing, Music Business | 1 CommentTags: Amazon, audio, Catalog, CDBaby, Chris Anderson, consumers, Content, Demand, digital, Digital Media Digest, distribution, Economics, Harvard, internet, iTunes, label, long tail, Music, Online, Project Studio, Record Labels, Supply, The Long Tail, Tunecore
Chris Anderson’s Long Tail Theory is under scrutiny, and both sides have reason to claim victory. I’d be interested in Chris running his numbers again with data from iTunes and AmazonMP3. If I had to guess, his 98% rule is overstated at best. Keep in mind he was doing his research on data from 2004, which is way too early to develop a trend rule that will stand the test of time. Regardless, after analyzing the data that I do have access to, I fully believe in the value of the “tail”, but I’ve come up with a series of x-factors that I believe were underestimated, ultimately leading to a 98% rule in question, and Long Tail under the microscope.
- Project Studio Proliferation in the 90s:
- Creative and Financial filters were destroyed.
- Music creation became affordable…not just consumption.
- Supply increased exponentially.
- Digital Content Delivery Services:
- The Internet:
- Destroyed traditional distribution filters
- Introduced a retail environment absent of scarcity.
- Distribution products without demand became possible.
- Consumers given access to their niche
- The Majors realize value in Digital Distribution:
- Released a flood of product with little or diminishing demand into the market. For example, out-of-print titles could be resurrected without the traditional costs of manufacturing, stocking, and distribution.
- Streamline processes to make extend their “tail”.
I believe we will hit what I call a “Ground Zero” with audio content by 2010. The Majors will have completed their catalog delivery and any pent up product still looking for distribution will have found it’s way into the digital marketplace. By then, who knows what new technologies will be available or what challenges lie ahead. I appreciate Anderson’s work in trendspotting and hope, for the sake of us all working in the industry, he will continue to keep his theory fluid, updated, and transparent.
Newspapers – Daily Circulation Strangulation
May 4, 2009 at 2:57 am | In Media Business | Leave a CommentTags: circulation, daily, digital, Digital Media Digest, internet, Media, news, newspaper, print
We saw this coming years ago. At least those of us in the music industry. Misery loves company I guess. So it’s no surprise when newspaper daily circulation reports show this depth of decline over the past six months. The question is whether or not the Internet, the Economy, or a mixture of reasons is to blame.
I’m out of the print loop, but I’d love to hear any opinions regarding Wall Street Journal’s ability to show an increased daily circulation over the past 6 months or any examples of newspapers re-inventing themselves for the future.
TurnItUpMedia: Ad-Model with a Purpose
April 19, 2009 at 2:39 am | In Marketing, Music Business | Leave a CommentTags: Ad, Advertisement, Catalog, Credit, Digital Music, DSP, It, Media, model, Music, Turn, TurnItUpMedia, Up
I could play the cynic and tell you there’s yet another digital music retailer out there that won’t make it. I could tell you that because it’s an ad-based model it’s doomed from the start. I could tell you that consumers have found a home at iTunes and Amazon, but the truth is that we never really know what is or isn’t going to work. TurnItUpMedia.com has a new twist to the ad model and this is the time to test everything.
TurnItUpMedia has three things going for it.
- Targeted Advertising: You choose the ad you want to watch from a selection of ad screenshots. The selection of ads presented to the consumer is based on certain interests, preferences, and demographic information selected in the account registration process.
- Rewards: Each ad watched accumulates credits. Credits can be redeemed for music. Credits can also be purchased.
- Breadth of Catalog: All major label content available.
Give it a spin. Be sure to leave your feedback here.
iTunes – Sticker Shock & Basic Economics
April 17, 2009 at 4:45 pm | In Marketing, Music Business | Leave a CommentTags: 1.29, 69, 99, apple, April, Chart, Demand, Economics, iTunes, price, Pricing, scarcity, song, Sticker Shock, title, track, value, Variable, variable pricing
iTunes introduced variable pricing at the beginning of April. Early research is showing a decline in sales for titles bearing a $1.29 price point. This is absolutely no surprise for 2 reasons:
1) Sticker Shock: The iTunes customer is conditioned to a 99cent track price. $1.29 is a 30% increase. Most of us notice a 30% price hike on any product that we regularly purchase (gas, groceries, etc.) so it’s no surprise that the impulse buyer is going to prioritize their list of desired music and think twice before buying. The good news for the labels is that sticker shock wears off quickly and as soon as the price structure feels like the new standard, people will resume their impulse behavior.
2) Basic Economics: When you raise the price of a product, you reduce the demand. Conversely, you usually lower a price to stimulate demand. This is why even the top tracks are suffering on the charts right now. People consume based on their purchasing power and a higher price per track reduces the number of tracks a consumer can afford. The bad news is that the laws of economics are rarely broken, but a move to variable pricing is a healthy move. All tracks aren’t created equal, and although scarcity doesn’t exist in the world of digital music, value still determines demand. A top selling title has more value than a low selling title, therefore, it yeild a higher price. The consumer’s shouldn’t have to pay the same price for tracks of different value, and the labels or artists shouldn’t have to charge the same price for different products either.
If I had to guess, I’d say that sticker shock will be a moot point in a few months and there will be a more consistent list of higher and lower priced tracks by the fall. Once most of the top titles are $1.29 and most of the low titles are $0.69, the charting will look normal again.
Q1 2009 – Media Industry Shrinkage Recap
April 17, 2009 at 2:37 pm | In Uncategorized | Leave a CommentTags: 2009, Downsizing, Echo, Electronics, Layoff, Media, Music, Passalong Networks, Q1
According to this TechCrunch graph, the loss of jobs in media and electronics seems to be slowing, but a large number of layoffs comes standard with a new calendar year in a down economy. Looking forward, Q2 doesn’t offer much relief, and has already claimed 2 major music industry victims (Passalong Networks and Echo).
Highlighted media companies who experienced layoffs in Q1 2009:
Jan 8: Dell – 1900
Jan 14: Google – 100
Jan 17: Circuit City – 34,000
Jan 20: Warner Brothers – 800
Jan 20: Clear Channel – 1850
Jan 21: Bose – 1000
Jan 22: Microsoft – 5000
Jan 22: Digg – 7
Jan 31: eBaum’s World – 13
Feb 20: Best Buy – 250
March 11: Sony Pictures – 350
March 25: iMeem – 6
March 26: Google – 200
March 26: Amazon – 210
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